Final Score: Nationals 10 - Reds 4
Tuesday, May 12, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Nationals @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 249 | 270 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 5 |
| Stat | Nationals | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 41 | 41 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.6 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 59% | 57% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Miami Marlins
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Miami Marlins
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Miami Marlins
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Minnesota Twins
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Minnesota Twins
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 17
15-2
vs Minnesota Twins
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ New York Mets
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
Reds
vs Houston Astros
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Houston Astros
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Houston Astros
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 10
0-10
@ Chicago Cubs
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Chicago Cubs
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Chicago Cubs
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Chicago Cubs
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 24
7-17
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9