Final Score: Nationals 8 - Reds 7
Wednesday, May 13, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
20-22 Rating 1452
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.7
Reds
22-20 Rating 1498
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Reds
All-time wins 250 270
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Reds
Games played 42 42
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.6 4.9
Win percentage 48% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 55%