Final Score: Astros 1 - Reds 3
Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Astros @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 354 | 377 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 10 | 0 |
| Stat | Astros | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 39 | 39 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.7 | 5.0 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 35% | 53% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 10
10-0
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Boston Red Sox
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Boston Red Sox
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Boston Red Sox
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
Reds
vs Houston Astros
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 10
0-10
@ Chicago Cubs
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Chicago Cubs
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Chicago Cubs
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Chicago Cubs
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 24
7-17
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13