Final Score: Twins 5 - Guardians 4
Sunday, May 10, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Twins @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
17-23 Rating 1459
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.9
Guardians
21-20 Rating 1522
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Guardians
All-time wins 390 426
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Guardians
Games played 40 41
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.2
Win percentage 42% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 56%