Final Score: Twins 2 - Guardians 1
Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET

Twins @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
16-23 Rating 1456
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.9
Guardians
21-19 Rating 1524
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Guardians
All-time wins 389 426
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Guardians
Games played 39 40
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.2
Win percentage 41% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 59%