Final Score: Reds 4 - Phillies 5
Monday, May 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Reds @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
24-23 Rating 1496
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Phillies
24-23 Rating 1542
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Phillies
All-time wins 287 240
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 8 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Phillies
Games played 47 47
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.6
Win percentage 51% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 50%