Final Score: Phillies 1 - Red Sox 3
Wednesday, May 13, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Phillies @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
20-22 Rating 1537
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Red Sox
17-24 Rating 1510
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Red Sox
All-time wins 38 53
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 5.3
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Red Sox
Games played 42 41
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.1
Win percentage 48% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 35%