Final Score: Rays 4 - Red Sox 1
Sunday, May 10, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET
Rays @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 229 | 267 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 2 |
| Stat | Rays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 38 | 39 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 66% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 55% | 39% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Boston Red Sox
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Boston Red Sox
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
Red Sox
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Detroit Tigers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Detroit Tigers
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Detroit Tigers
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Houston Astros
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Houston Astros
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Houston Astros
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3