Final Score: Blue Jays 0 - Rays 3
Wednesday, May 6, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
16-20 Rating 1523
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Rays
23-12 Rating 1518
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Rays
All-time wins 216 265
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.7
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Rays
Games played 36 35
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.1
Win percentage 44% 66%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 76%