Final Score: Phillies 2 - Red Sox 1
Tuesday, May 12, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Phillies @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 37 | 53 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 5.4 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 9 |
| Stat | Phillies | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 41 | 40 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 37% |
Recent Results
Phillies
vs Colorado Rockies
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs Colorado Rockies
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs Colorado Rockies
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Athletics
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 13
1-12
vs Athletics
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Athletics
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Miami Marlins
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Miami Marlins
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Miami Marlins
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
Red Sox
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Detroit Tigers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Detroit Tigers
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Detroit Tigers
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Houston Astros
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Houston Astros
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Houston Astros
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8