Final Score: Red Sox 10 - Tigers 3
Tuesday, May 5, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Tigers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
14-21 Rating 1510
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Detroit Tigers +0.2
Tigers
18-18 Rating 1507
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Tigers
All-time wins 348 270
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 4.5
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Tigers
Games played 35 36
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.0
Win percentage 40% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 75%