Final Score: Rays 8 - Blue Jays 5
Monday, May 11, 2026 at 7:07 PM ET
Rays @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 266 | 216 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 0 |
| Stat | Rays | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 39 | 40 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 57% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Boston Red Sox
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Boston Red Sox
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Boston Red Sox
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs San Francisco Giants
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
Blue Jays
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 15
14-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Minnesota Twins
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Minnesota Twins
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
@ Minnesota Twins
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7