Final Score: Phillies 3 - Red Sox 1
Thursday, May 14, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Phillies @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
20-23 Rating 1535
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.0
Red Sox
18-24 Rating 1512
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Red Sox
All-time wins 38 54
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 5.3
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Red Sox
Games played 43 42
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.1
Win percentage 47% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 38%