Final Score: Red Sox 2 - Braves 3
Friday, May 15, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Red Sox @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
18-25 Rating 1510
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.5
Braves
30-14 Rating 1538
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Braves
All-time wins 53 47
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.6
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Braves
Games played 43 44
Avg runs scored 3.7 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.3
Win percentage 42% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 67%