Final Score: Cubs 2 - Braves 5
Tuesday, May 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
27-14 Rating 1547
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.1
Braves
28-13 Rating 1536
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Braves
All-time wins 248 273
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Braves
Games played 41 41
Avg runs scored 5.2 5.6
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.4
Win percentage 66% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 67%