Final Score: Braves 3 - Mariners 2
Tuesday, May 5, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Braves @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Braves | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 12 | 17 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 3.6 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 5 |
| Stat | Braves | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 36 | 36 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.8 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.6 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 69% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 72% | 52% |
Recent Results
Braves
@ Seattle Mariners
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Colorado Rockies
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 17
11-6
@ Colorado Rockies
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Colorado Rockies
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Mariners
vs Atlanta Braves
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Kansas City Royals
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Kansas City Royals
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Kansas City Royals
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 20
11-9
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2