Final Score: Phillies 3 - Braves 5
Friday, April 24, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Phillies @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
8-17 Rating 1527
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.2
Braves
18-8 Rating 1527
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Braves
All-time wins 400 439
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.6
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Braves
Games played 25 26
Avg runs scored 3.6 5.8
Avg runs conceded 5.6 3.4
Win percentage 32% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 67%