Final Score: Nationals 4 - Braves 5
Friday, May 22, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Nationals @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 389 | 436 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 7 |
| Stat | Nationals | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 51 | 51 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.8 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 69% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 67% |
Recent Results
Nationals
vs New York Mets
May 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New York Mets
May 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs New York Mets
May 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
vs New York Mets
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 23
7-16
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 16
1-15
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
Braves
@ Miami Marlins
May 21, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Miami Marlins
May 20, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Miami Marlins
May 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Miami Marlins
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 12
0-12
vs Boston Red Sox
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Boston Red Sox
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Boston Red Sox
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Chicago Cubs
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Chicago Cubs
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2