Final Score: Nationals 2 - Braves 1
Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
26-27 Rating 1456
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +1.1
Braves
36-17 Rating 1541
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Braves
All-time wins 390 437
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Braves
Games played 53 53
Avg runs scored 5.4 5.3
Avg runs conceded 5.7 3.4
Win percentage 49% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 65%