Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Guardians 4
Friday, May 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
23-32 Rating 1505
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.5
Guardians
33-25 Rating 1532
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Guardians
All-time wins 345 294
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.1 4.5
Last meeting 1 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Guardians
Games played 55 58
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.9
Win percentage 42% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 57%