Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Royals 3
Wednesday, May 20, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET
Red Sox @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 268 | 249 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 1 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 48 | 49 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 52% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ Kansas City Royals
May 19, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Kansas City Royals
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Atlanta Braves
May 17, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Atlanta Braves
May 16, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Atlanta Braves
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
Royals
vs Boston Red Sox
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Boston Red Sox
May 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 16, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Chicago White Sox
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Chicago White Sox
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Chicago White Sox
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Detroit Tigers
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Detroit Tigers
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1