Final Score: Royals 2 - Cardinals 4
Saturday, May 16, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET

Royals @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
19-26 Rating 1480
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.5
Cardinals
26-18 Rating 1509
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Cardinals
All-time wins 59 83
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 5.1
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Cardinals
Games played 45 44
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.6
Win percentage 42% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 27% 52%