Final Score: Cardinals 2 - Padres 4
Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Cardinals @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cardinals | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 317 | 220 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 0 |
| Stat | Cardinals | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 38 | 38 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 72% | 52% |
Recent Results
Cardinals
@ San Diego Padres
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ San Diego Padres
May 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Milwaukee Brewers
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
Padres
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ San Francisco Giants
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ San Francisco Giants
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ San Francisco Giants
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Chicago White Sox
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago White Sox
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Chicago White Sox
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8