Final Score: White Sox 3 - Padres 4
Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

White Sox @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
White Sox
16-17 Rating 1413
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.5
Padres
19-13 Rating 1539
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat White Sox Padres
All-time wins 12 14
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.3 3.3
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat White Sox Padres
Games played 33 32
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 48% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 56%