Final Score: White Sox 4 - Padres 0
Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

White Sox @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
White Sox
15-17 Rating 1410
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.6
Padres
19-12 Rating 1541
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat White Sox Padres
All-time wins 11 14
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.3 3.4
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat White Sox Padres
Games played 32 31
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 47% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 59%