Final Score: Padres 10 - Giants 5
Tuesday, May 5, 2026 at 9:45 PM ET
Padres @ Giants
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 462 | 500 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Padres | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 34 | 35 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 47% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ San Francisco Giants
May 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Chicago White Sox
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago White Sox
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Chicago White Sox
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 19
7-12
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Colorado Rockies
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
Giants
vs San Diego Padres
May 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Miami Marlins
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Miami Marlins
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Miami Marlins
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9