Final Score: Royals 2 - Cardinals 0
Sunday, May 17, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET

Royals @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
19-27 Rating 1478
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.6
Cardinals
27-18 Rating 1510
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Cardinals
All-time wins 59 84
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 5.1
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Cardinals
Games played 46 45
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.5
Win percentage 41% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 55%