Final Score: Mariners 2 - Royals 0
Friday, May 22, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Mariners @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
24-27 Rating 1518
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.2
Royals
20-30 Rating 1474
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Royals
All-time wins 241 248
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Royals
Games played 51 50
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.5
Win percentage 47% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 50%