Final Score: Padres 7 - Mariners 4
Saturday, May 16, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Padres @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 68 | 73 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 0 |
| Stat | Padres | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 44 | 46 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 50% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Seattle Mariners
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Milwaukee Brewers
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Milwaukee Brewers
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Milwaukee Brewers
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ San Francisco Giants
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ San Francisco Giants
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
Mariners
vs San Diego Padres
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Houston Astros
May 14, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Houston Astros
May 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Houston Astros
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Houston Astros
May 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Chicago White Sox
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago White Sox
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Chicago White Sox
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 20
12-8
vs Atlanta Braves
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Atlanta Braves
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3