Final Score: White Sox 4 - Mariners 5
Wednesday, May 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

White Sox @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
White Sox
25-23 Rating 1425
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +1.2
Mariners
23-27 Rating 1516
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat White Sox Mariners
All-time wins 255 234
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat White Sox Mariners
Games played 48 50
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 3.9
Win percentage 52% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 46%