Final Score: Guardians 3 - Tigers 1
Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Guardians @ Tigers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
29-22 Rating 1531
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.2
Tigers
20-30 Rating 1487
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Tigers
All-time wins 454 441
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.5
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Tigers
Games played 51 50
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 57% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 54%