Final Score: Twins 4 - Red Sox 2
Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Twins @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
24-27 Rating 1466
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Red Sox
22-28 Rating 1512
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Red Sox
All-time wins 244 279
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.9
Last meeting 8 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Red Sox
Games played 51 50
Avg runs scored 4.7 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.0
Win percentage 47% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 35%