Final Score: Nationals 6 - Guardians 3
Tuesday, May 26, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
28-27 Rating 1461
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.9
Guardians
32-24 Rating 1533
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Guardians
All-time wins 15 14
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 10 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Guardians
Games played 55 56
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.5 3.9
Win percentage 51% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 58%