Final Score: Padres 4 - Nationals 9
Saturday, May 30, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET
Padres @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 251 | 269 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 5 |
| Stat | Padres | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 56 | 58 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 67% | 37% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Washington Nationals
May 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
May 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Athletics
May 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Athletics
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Athletics
May 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
Nationals
vs San Diego Padres
May 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 25, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Atlanta Braves
May 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Atlanta Braves
May 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Atlanta Braves
May 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs New York Mets
May 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New York Mets
May 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs New York Mets
May 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6