Final Score: Dodgers 5 - Padres 4
Tuesday, May 19, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Dodgers @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dodgers
29-19 Rating 1577
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.1
Padres
29-18 Rating 1547
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dodgers Padres
All-time wins 539 437
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 3.6
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Dodgers Padres
Games played 48 47
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.2 4.0
Win percentage 60% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 58%