Final Score: Phillies 3 - Padres 0
Monday, May 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
26-27 Rating 1537
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Padres
31-21 Rating 1544
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 296 230
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 53 52
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.9
Win percentage 49% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 55%