Final Score: Heat 95 - Mavericks 92
Tuesday, June 20, 2006 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
67-37 Rating 1776
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Dallas Mavericks +5.8
Mavericks
74-30 Rating 1844
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Mavericks
All-time wins 23 21
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 99.6 98.1
Last meeting 101 100

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Mavericks
Games played 104 104
Avg points scored 99.1 99.3
Avg points conceded 95.3 93.6
Win percentage 64% 71%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 82%