Final Score: Heat 100 - Mavericks 112
Thursday, February 22, 2007 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
26-27 Rating 1559
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
12%
88%
Projected margin: Dallas Mavericks +11.5
Mavericks
44-9 Rating 1923
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Mavericks
All-time wins 24 22
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 99.3 98.0
Last meeting 93 99

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Mavericks
Games played 53 53
Avg points scored 96.6 99.9
Avg points conceded 98.3 92.5
Win percentage 49% 83%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 89%