Final Score: Heat 79 - Hawks 81
Tuesday, April 14, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Hawks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
42-38 Rating 1512
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
29%
71%
Projected margin: Atlanta Hawks +6.1
Hawks
46-34 Rating 1601
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Hawks
All-time wins 44 39
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 96.4 95.0
Last meeting 83 91

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Hawks
Games played 80 80
Avg points scored 98.5 98.4
Avg points conceded 98.3 96.8
Win percentage 52% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 75%