Final Score: Mavericks 106 - Heat 93
Friday, December 11, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
15-7 Rating 1661
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +0.4
Heat
11-9 Rating 1510
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 27 24
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average points 98.5 98.5
Last meeting 98 96

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 22 20
Avg points scored 101.7 97.5
Avg points conceded 96.9 97.2
Win percentage 68% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 55%