Final Score: Lakers 111 - Heat 114
Thursday, March 4, 2010 at 7:00 PM ET

Lakers @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lakers
46-15 Rating 1831
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
69%
31%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Lakers +3.2
Heat
30-31 Rating 1517
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lakers Heat
All-time wins 29 14
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 102.0 94.8
Last meeting 108 107

Key Season Stats

Stat Lakers Heat
Games played 61 61
Avg points scored 102.9 95.9
Avg points conceded 96.1 95.2
Win percentage 75% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 52%