Final Score: Mavericks 84 - Heat 92
Tuesday, May 31, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
69-28 Rating 1893
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +4.3
Heat
70-27 Rating 1889
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 31 24
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average points 98.7 98.1
Last meeting 98 96

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 97 97
Avg points scored 100.2 100.6
Avg points conceded 95.5 93.6
Win percentage 71% 72%
Away win % / Home win % 69% 78%