Final Score: Heat 104 - Nuggets 117
Friday, January 13, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Nuggets

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
8-3 Rating 1759
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Denver Nuggets +1.3
Nuggets
7-4 Rating 1653
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Nuggets
All-time wins 25 24
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 100.8 102.3
Last meeting 103 98

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Nuggets
Games played 11 11
Avg points scored 106.4 103.6
Avg points conceded 97.7 97.5
Win percentage 73% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 83%