Final Score: Mavericks 85 - Heat 106
Thursday, March 29, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
29-22 Rating 1612
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
22%
78%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +7.7
Heat
35-13 Rating 1794
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 35 27
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 98.2 97.7
Last meeting 94 105

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 51 48
Avg points scored 94.9 100.9
Avg points conceded 93.1 93.6
Win percentage 57% 73%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 91%