Final Score: Pacers 78 - Heat 75
Tuesday, May 15, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Pacers @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pacers
46-26 Rating 1662
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
29%
71%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +6.0
Heat
51-21 Rating 1757
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pacers Heat
All-time wins 55 40
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 97.6 95.1
Last meeting 86 95

Key Season Stats

Stat Pacers Heat
Games played 72 72
Avg points scored 97.3 98.3
Avg points conceded 93.7 91.7
Win percentage 64% 71%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 86%