Final Score: Heat 88 - Spurs 86
Sunday, March 31, 2013 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Spurs

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
57-15 Rating 1939
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +0.4
Spurs
55-17 Rating 1790
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Spurs
All-time wins 16 34
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 91.1 96.3
Last meeting 105 100

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Spurs
Games played 72 72
Avg points scored 103.5 104.2
Avg points conceded 95.5 96.5
Win percentage 79% 76%
Away win % / Home win % 68% 89%