Final Score: Heat 77 - Spurs 113
Tuesday, June 11, 2013 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Spurs

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
79-21 Rating 1914
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +3.1
Spurs
71-27 Rating 1874
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Spurs
All-time wins 18 35
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 91.2 95.8
Last meeting 103 84

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Spurs
Games played 100 98
Avg points scored 101.8 102.5
Avg points conceded 93.7 95.9
Win percentage 79% 72%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 85%