Final Score: Heat 87 - Spurs 111
Thursday, March 6, 2014 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Spurs

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
43-15 Rating 1833
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +2.7
Spurs
44-16 Rating 1760
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Spurs
All-time wins 22 37
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 92.1 96.4
Last meeting 113 101

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Spurs
Games played 58 60
Avg points scored 104.7 104.3
Avg points conceded 98.4 98.0
Win percentage 74% 73%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 72%