Final Score: Heat 96 - Pacers 107
Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Pacers

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
62-29 Rating 1720
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Indiana Pacers +0.8
Pacers
64-31 Rating 1587
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Pacers
All-time wins 50 64
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 94.8 96.4
Last meeting 98 86

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Pacers
Games played 91 95
Avg points scored 101.9 96.0
Avg points conceded 96.9 92.0
Win percentage 68% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 79%