Final Score: Mavericks 134 - Pacers 130
Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Mavericks @ Pacers

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
19-36 Rating 1320
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Indiana Pacers +2.8
Pacers
15-42 Rating 1251
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Pacers
All-time wins 48 40
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 104.8 104.4
Last meeting 107 105

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Pacers
Games played 55 57
Avg points scored 113.9 111.2
Avg points conceded 117.5 118.7
Win percentage 35% 26%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 36%